Transport International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.81
| KWO Stock | EUR 0.95 0.01 1.04% |
Transport |
Transport International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.81
The tendency of Transport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.81 in 90 days |
| 0.95 | 90 days | 0.81 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transport International to stay above € 0.81 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Transport International Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Transport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transport International price to stay between € 0.81 and its current price of €0.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Transport International Holdings has a beta of -0.33. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Transport International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Transport International Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Transport International Holdings has an alpha of 0.038, implying that it can generate a 0.038 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Transport International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transport International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transport International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Transport International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transport International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transport International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transport International Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transport International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Transport International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transport International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transport International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transport International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Transport International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Transport International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transport Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transport International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transport International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 465.5 M |
Transport International Technical Analysis
Transport International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transport International Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Transport International Predictive Forecast Models
Transport International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transport International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transport International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Transport International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transport International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transport International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Transport International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Transport International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Transport Stock
Transport International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transport with respect to the benefits of owning Transport International security.