Lithia Motors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 386.88
| LAD Stock | USD 390.86 8.36 2.19% |
Lithia |
Lithia Motors Target Price Odds to finish over 386.88
The tendency of Lithia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 386.88 in 90 days |
| 390.86 | 90 days | 386.88 | about 1.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lithia Motors to stay above $ 386.88 in 90 days from now is about 1.7 (This Lithia Motors probability density function shows the probability of Lithia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lithia Motors price to stay between $ 386.88 and its current price of $390.86 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.72 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lithia Motors will likely underperform. Additionally Lithia Motors has an alpha of 0.2879, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lithia Motors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lithia Motors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lithia Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lithia Motors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lithia Motors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lithia Motors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lithia Motors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lithia Motors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Lithia Motors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lithia Motors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lithia Motors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lithia Motors has about 246.7 M in cash with (472.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.44. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Lithia Motors paid $ 0.53 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lithia Motors Inc Trading 2.86 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Lithia Motors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lithia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lithia Motors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lithia Motors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 941.4 M |
Lithia Motors Technical Analysis
Lithia Motors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lithia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lithia Motors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lithia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lithia Motors Predictive Forecast Models
Lithia Motors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lithia Motors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lithia Motors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lithia Motors
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lithia Motors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lithia Motors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lithia Motors has about 246.7 M in cash with (472.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.44. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Lithia Motors paid $ 0.53 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lithia Motors Inc Trading 2.86 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Check out Lithia Motors Backtesting, Lithia Motors Valuation, Lithia Motors Correlation, Lithia Motors Hype Analysis, Lithia Motors Volatility, Lithia Motors History as well as Lithia Motors Performance. For information on how to trade Lithia Stock refer to our How to Trade Lithia Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lithia Motors. If investors know Lithia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lithia Motors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 2.09 | Earnings Share 29.3 | Revenue Per Share 1.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.114 |
The market value of Lithia Motors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lithia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lithia Motors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lithia Motors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lithia Motors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lithia Motors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lithia Motors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lithia Motors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lithia Motors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.