Lands End Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.67

LE Stock  USD 17.67  0.69  3.76%   
Lands End's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lands End. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lands End based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lands End over a specific time period. For example, LE260320C00017500 is a PUT option contract on Lands End's common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2026-03-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 36 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 12th of February 2026 is 36.0. View All Lands options

Closest to current price Lands long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Lands End's future price is the expected price of Lands End instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lands End performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lands End Analysis, Lands End Valuation, Lands End Correlation, Lands End Hype Analysis, Lands End Volatility, Lands End Price History as well as Lands End Performance.
For information on how to trade Lands Stock refer to our How to Trade Lands Stock guide.At present, Lands End's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Please specify Lands End's target price for which you would like Lands End odds to be computed.

Lands End Target Price Odds to finish over 17.67

The tendency of Lands Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.67 90 days 17.67 
about 7.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lands End to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.89 (This Lands End probability density function shows the probability of Lands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.46 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lands End will likely underperform. Additionally Lands End has an alpha of 0.0441, implying that it can generate a 0.0441 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lands End Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lands End

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lands End. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lands End's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1617.7023.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6321.1726.71
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.8535.0038.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.240.25
Details

Lands End Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lands End is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lands End's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lands End, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lands End within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Lands End Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lands End for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lands End can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lands End had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: LE GUIDE DE VOYAGE FORBES DVOILE LE PALMARS 2026

Lands End Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lands Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lands End's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lands End's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.2 M

Lands End Technical Analysis

Lands End's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lands Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lands End. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lands Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lands End Predictive Forecast Models

Lands End's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lands End's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lands End's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lands End

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lands End for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lands End help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lands End had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: LE GUIDE DE VOYAGE FORBES DVOILE LE PALMARS 2026
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Lands diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lands End. Expected growth trajectory for Lands significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lands End data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Earnings Share
0.37
Revenue Per Share
42.762
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0497
Investors evaluate Lands End using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Lands End's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Lands End's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Lands End's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lands End represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Lands End's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.