Lands End Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LE Stock  USD 14.05  0.97  6.46%   
Lands Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lands End stock prices and determine the direction of Lands End's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lands End's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Lands End's share price is approaching 42. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lands End, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lands End's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lands End and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lands End's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lands End, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lands End's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.96
Wall Street Target Price
18
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.165
Using Lands End hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lands End from the perspective of Lands End response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lands End using Lands End's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lands using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lands End's stock price.

Lands End Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Lands End's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lands. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lands End stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
12.8858
Short Percent
0.1243
Short Ratio
7.71
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
15.2342

Lands Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lands End on the next trading day is expected to be 13.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.25.

Lands End Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lands End's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lands. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lands can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lands End. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lands End's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lands End.

Lands End Implied Volatility

    
  1.47  
Lands End's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lands End stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lands End's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lands End stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lands End's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lands End on the next trading day is expected to be 13.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.25.

Lands End after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lands End to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lands Stock refer to our How to Trade Lands Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lands contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lands End will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0919% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lands End trading at USD 14.05, that is roughly USD 0.0129 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lands End's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lands End options at the current volatility level of 1.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lands Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lands End's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lands End's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lands End stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lands End's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lands End's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lands End is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lands. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lands End Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lands using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Lands End Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Lands End's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1987-01-31
Previous Quarter
21.3 M
Current Value
36.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
62.3 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Lands End is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lands End value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lands End Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lands End on the next trading day is expected to be 13.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lands Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lands End's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lands End Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lands End  Lands End Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lands End Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lands End's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lands End's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.45 and 16.89, respectively. We have considered Lands End's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.05
13.67
Expected Value
16.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lands End stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lands End stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0781
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4467
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors27.2485
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lands End. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lands End. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lands End

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lands End. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lands End's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8614.1017.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7215.9619.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.8114.7615.71
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details

Lands End After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lands End at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lands End or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lands End, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lands End Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lands End's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lands End's historical news coverage. Lands End's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.86 and 17.34, respectively. We have considered Lands End's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.05
14.10
After-hype Price
17.34
Upside
Lands End is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lands End is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lands End Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lands End is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lands End backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lands End, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
3.22
  0.05 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.05
14.10
0.36 
1,533  
Notes

Lands End Hype Timeline

As of January 26, 2026 Lands End is listed for 14.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Lands is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Lands End is about 2954.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.08. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.36 B. Reported Net Income was 6.23 M with gross profit of 641.95 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lands End to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lands Stock refer to our How to Trade Lands Stock guide.

Lands End Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lands End's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lands End's future price movements. Getting to know how Lands End's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lands End may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARKOArko Corp(0.03)8 per month 2.59  0.09  5.91 (2.93) 18.08 
ZKHZKH Group Limited 0.05 6 per month 2.80  0.07  6.38 (3.63) 25.66 
BWMXBetterware de Mxico 0.07 4 per month 1.22  0.21  3.90 (2.22) 13.62 
HNSTHonest Company 0.02 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.62 (3.89) 32.21 
HZOMarineMax(0.1)13 per month 2.81  0.03  6.76 (4.50) 16.01 
SCVLShoe Carnival(0.21)8 per month 2.98 (0.03) 4.98 (4.71) 11.78 
MLRMiller Industries 0.94 8 per month 1.88 (0.04) 2.66 (2.49) 7.96 
KRTKarat Packaging 0.24 7 per month 1.90 (0.03) 3.23 (2.77) 12.60 
NATHNathans Famous 0.92 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.17 (3.41) 9.78 
MNROMonro Muffler Brake(0.81)8 per month 3.40  0.07  5.20 (3.62) 20.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Lands End

For every potential investor in Lands, whether a beginner or expert, Lands End's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lands Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lands. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lands End's price trends.

Lands End Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lands End stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lands End could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lands End by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lands End Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lands End stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lands End shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lands End stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lands End entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lands End Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lands End's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lands End's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lands stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lands End

The number of cover stories for Lands End depends on current market conditions and Lands End's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lands End is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lands End's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lands End Short Properties

Lands End's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lands End's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lands End often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lands End's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lands End's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.2 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lands End to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lands Stock refer to our How to Trade Lands Stock guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lands End. If investors know Lands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lands End listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Earnings Share
0.37
Revenue Per Share
42.762
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0497
The market value of Lands End is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lands End's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lands End's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lands End's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lands End's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lands End's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lands End is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lands End's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.