Lucas Gc Limited Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.67
| LGCL Stock | 0.76 0.37 32.74% |
Lucas |
Lucas GC Target Price Odds to finish below 1.67
The tendency of Lucas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.67 after 90 days |
| 0.76 | 90 days | 1.67 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lucas GC to stay under 1.67 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lucas GC Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lucas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lucas GC Limited price to stay between its current price of 0.76 and 1.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lucas GC will likely underperform. Additionally Lucas GC Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lucas GC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lucas GC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lucas GC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lucas GC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lucas GC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lucas GC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lucas GC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lucas GC Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lucas GC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Lucas GC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lucas GC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lucas GC Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucas GC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucas GC Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucas GC Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lucas GC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LGCL Stock Experiences Sharp Decline Amidst Industry Volatility |
Lucas GC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lucas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lucas GC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucas GC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.1 M |
Lucas GC Technical Analysis
Lucas GC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lucas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lucas GC Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lucas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lucas GC Predictive Forecast Models
Lucas GC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lucas GC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lucas GC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lucas GC Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lucas GC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lucas GC Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lucas GC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucas GC Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucas GC Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lucas GC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LGCL Stock Experiences Sharp Decline Amidst Industry Volatility |
Check out Lucas GC Backtesting, Lucas GC Valuation, Lucas GC Correlation, Lucas GC Hype Analysis, Lucas GC Volatility, Lucas GC History as well as Lucas GC Performance. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lucas GC. If investors know Lucas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lucas GC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.459 | Revenue Per Share 18.882 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.41 | Return On Assets 0.1588 | Return On Equity 0.4974 |
The market value of Lucas GC Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lucas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lucas GC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lucas GC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lucas GC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lucas GC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lucas GC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lucas GC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lucas GC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.