Lucas Gc Limited Stock Price Prediction
LGCL Stock | 1.02 0.14 15.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.459 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.41 |
Using Lucas GC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lucas GC Limited from the perspective of Lucas GC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lucas GC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lucas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lucas GC after-hype prediction price | USD 0.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lucas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lucas GC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lucas GC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lucas GC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lucas GC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lucas GC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Lucas GC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lucas GC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lucas GC's historical news coverage. Lucas GC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered Lucas GC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lucas GC is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lucas GC Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lucas GC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lucas GC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lucas GC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lucas GC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 6.45 | 0.03 | 1.30 | 4 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.02 | 0.99 | 2.94 |
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Lucas GC Hype Timeline
Lucas GC Limited is now traded for 1.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.3. Lucas is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.94%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Lucas GC is about 288.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.28. About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Lucas GC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lucas GC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lucas GC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lucas GC's future price movements. Getting to know how Lucas GC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lucas GC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EXLS | ExlService Holdings | 0.39 | 12 per month | 0.38 | 0.19 | 2.56 | (1.41) | 8.35 | |
WNS | WNS Holdings | 1.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.95 | (3.12) | 13.48 | |
IT | Gartner | (5.75) | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0 | 1.37 | (2.06) | 7.23 | |
HCKT | The Hackett Group | 1.02 | 7 per month | 0.93 | 0.07 | 2.61 | (1.80) | 19.63 | |
G | Genpact Limited | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.09 | 2.64 | (1.63) | 11.64 | |
CACI | CACI International | (11.46) | 11 per month | 2.58 | (0.05) | 2.84 | (4.18) | 14.84 | |
LDOS | Leidos Holdings | (6.96) | 10 per month | 2.86 | 0.01 | 2.17 | (1.90) | 23.10 | |
PSN | Parsons Corp | 1.03 | 10 per month | 2.11 | (0.02) | 2.89 | (2.83) | 15.20 | |
TTEC | TTEC Holdings | 0.21 | 9 per month | 3.17 | 0.06 | 7.37 | (4.94) | 56.54 |
Lucas GC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lucas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lucas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lucas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Lucas GC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lucas GC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lucas GC Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lucas GC based on analysis of Lucas GC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lucas GC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lucas GC's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 209.09 | 329.48 | 6.97 | 6.62 | PTB Ratio | 143.69 | 118.86 | 10.35 | 9.84 |
Story Coverage note for Lucas GC
The number of cover stories for Lucas GC depends on current market conditions and Lucas GC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lucas GC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lucas GC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Lucas GC Short Properties
Lucas GC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lucas GC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lucas GC Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lucas GC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucas GC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.1 M |
Check out Lucas GC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lucas GC. If investors know Lucas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lucas GC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.459 | Revenue Per Share 18.882 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.41 | Return On Assets 0.1588 | Return On Equity 0.4974 |
The market value of Lucas GC Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lucas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lucas GC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lucas GC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lucas GC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lucas GC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lucas GC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lucas GC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lucas GC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.