Lucas Gc Limited Stock Performance
| LGCL Stock | 2.10 0.14 6.25% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.64, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lucas GC will likely underperform. At this point, Lucas GC Limited has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to verify Lucas GC's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Lucas GC Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Lucas GC Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 30.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -79.9 M |
Lucas GC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 274.00 in Lucas GC Limited on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (64.00) from holding Lucas GC Limited or give up 23.36% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lucas GC Limited is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.3512% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 57% of stocks are less volatile than Lucas, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Lucas GC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Lucas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.10 | 90 days | 2.10 | about 80.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lucas GC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.57 (This Lucas GC Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lucas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lucas GC will likely underperform. Additionally Lucas GC Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lucas GC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lucas GC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lucas GC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lucas GC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lucas GC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lucas GC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lucas GC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lucas GC Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lucas GC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Lucas GC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lucas GC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lucas GC Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucas GC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucas GC Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lucas GC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lucas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lucas GC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucas GC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.2 M |
Lucas GC Fundamentals Growth
Lucas Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lucas GC, and Lucas GC fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lucas Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0252 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0141 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 14.6 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.79 M | |||
| Price To Book | 0.13 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.01 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.06 B | |||
| EBITDA | 36.86 M | |||
| Total Debt | 68.03 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 17.28 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 20.19 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (92.26) X | |||
| Total Asset | 403.25 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 97.12 M | |||
About Lucas GC Performance
By examining Lucas GC's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Lucas GC's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Lucas GC is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Things to note about Lucas GC Limited performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lucas GC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lucas GC Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucas GC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucas GC Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Lucas GC's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lucas GC's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Lucas GC's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Lucas GC's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lucas GC's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lucas GC's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lucas GC's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lucas GC Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lucas GC. Expected growth trajectory for Lucas significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Lucas GC assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Lucas GC Limited requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Lucas's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Lucas GC's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Lucas GC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Lucas GC's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lucas GC represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Lucas GC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.