LNA Sante (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.60

LNA Stock  EUR 23.60  1.20  5.36%   
LNA Sante's future price is the expected price of LNA Sante instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LNA Sante SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LNA Sante Backtesting, LNA Sante Valuation, LNA Sante Correlation, LNA Sante Hype Analysis, LNA Sante Volatility, LNA Sante History as well as LNA Sante Performance.
  
Please specify LNA Sante's target price for which you would like LNA Sante odds to be computed.

LNA Sante Target Price Odds to finish over 23.60

The tendency of LNA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.60 90 days 23.60 
about 60.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LNA Sante to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.17 (This LNA Sante SA probability density function shows the probability of LNA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LNA Sante has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LNA Sante average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LNA Sante SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LNA Sante SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LNA Sante Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LNA Sante

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LNA Sante SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3623.6025.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5419.7825.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1422.3824.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.3523.6424.92
Details

LNA Sante Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LNA Sante is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LNA Sante's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LNA Sante SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LNA Sante within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

LNA Sante Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LNA Sante for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LNA Sante SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LNA Sante SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LNA Sante SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

LNA Sante Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LNA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LNA Sante's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LNA Sante's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments152.1 M

LNA Sante Technical Analysis

LNA Sante's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LNA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LNA Sante SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing LNA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LNA Sante Predictive Forecast Models

LNA Sante's time-series forecasting models is one of many LNA Sante's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LNA Sante's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LNA Sante SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about LNA Sante for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LNA Sante SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LNA Sante SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LNA Sante SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in LNA Stock

LNA Sante financial ratios help investors to determine whether LNA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LNA with respect to the benefits of owning LNA Sante security.