Cheniere Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 174.81

LNG Stock  USD 221.77  0.13  0.06%   
Cheniere Energy's future price is the expected price of Cheniere Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cheniere Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cheniere Energy Backtesting, Cheniere Energy Valuation, Cheniere Energy Correlation, Cheniere Energy Hype Analysis, Cheniere Energy Volatility, Cheniere Energy History as well as Cheniere Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
  
At this time, Cheniere Energy's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Cheniere Energy's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 6.91, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.01. Please specify Cheniere Energy's target price for which you would like Cheniere Energy odds to be computed.

Cheniere Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 174.81

The tendency of Cheniere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 174.81  or more in 90 days
 221.77 90 days 174.81 
about 13.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheniere Energy to drop to $ 174.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.64 (This Cheniere Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cheniere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cheniere Energy price to stay between $ 174.81  and its current price of $221.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.64 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cheniere Energy has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Cheniere Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheniere Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheniere Energy has an alpha of 0.2506, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cheniere Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
221.28222.74224.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
199.59224.14225.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
212.93214.38215.84
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
180.92198.81220.68
Details

Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheniere Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheniere Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheniere Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheniere Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
14.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Cheniere Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheniere Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheniere Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheniere Energy has 26.79 B in debt. Cheniere Energy has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Cheniere to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Cheniere Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of November 2024 Cheniere Energy paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brown Brothers Harriman Co. Grows Stock Holdings in Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Cheniere Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheniere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheniere Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheniere Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding242.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 B

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

Cheniere Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheniere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheniere Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheniere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cheniere Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Cheniere Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheniere Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheniere Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cheniere Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheniere Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheniere Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheniere Energy has 26.79 B in debt. Cheniere Energy has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Cheniere to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Cheniere Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of November 2024 Cheniere Energy paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brown Brothers Harriman Co. Grows Stock Holdings in Cheniere Energy, Inc.
When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cheniere Energy Backtesting, Cheniere Energy Valuation, Cheniere Energy Correlation, Cheniere Energy Hype Analysis, Cheniere Energy Volatility, Cheniere Energy History as well as Cheniere Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheniere Energy. If investors know Cheniere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheniere Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
Dividend Share
1.805
Earnings Share
15.72
Revenue Per Share
67.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Cheniere Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheniere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheniere Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheniere Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheniere Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheniere Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheniere Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheniere Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheniere Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.