Cheniere Energy Stock Forward View

LNG Stock  USD 207.76  3.76  1.78%   
Cheniere Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cheniere Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The value of relative strength index of Cheniere Energy's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cheniere Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cheniere Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cheniere Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cheniere Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cheniere Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cheniere Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.209
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.7951
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.5035
EPS Estimate Next Year
14.3129
Wall Street Target Price
265.7273
Using Cheniere Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cheniere Energy from the perspective of Cheniere Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cheniere Energy using Cheniere Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cheniere using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cheniere Energy's stock price.

Cheniere Energy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Cheniere Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cheniere. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cheniere Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
223.6086
Short Percent
0.0185
Short Ratio
1.79
Shares Short Prior Month
4.8 M
50 Day MA
200.1506

Cheniere Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 207.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 150.64.

Cheniere Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cheniere Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheniere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheniere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cheniere Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cheniere Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cheniere Energy.

Cheniere Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.47  
Cheniere Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cheniere Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cheniere Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cheniere Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cheniere Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 207.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 150.64.

Cheniere Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 207.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cheniere contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cheniere Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cheniere Energy trading at USD 207.76, that is roughly USD 0.061 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cheniere Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cheniere Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cheniere Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cheniere Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cheniere Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cheniere Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cheniere Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cheniere Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cheniere Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cheniere. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Cheniere Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cheniere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheniere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheniere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Cheniere Energy Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Cheniere Energy's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-09-30
Previous Quarter
B
Current Value
1.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.1 B
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Cheniere Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cheniere Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cheniere Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 207.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47, mean absolute percentage error of 9.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 150.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheniere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheniere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cheniere Energy  Cheniere Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cheniere Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cheniere Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheniere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 205.86 and 208.23, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
207.76
205.86
Downside
207.04
Expected Value
208.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheniere Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheniere Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3557
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4695
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors150.6387
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cheniere Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cheniere Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
206.44207.63208.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.98225.05226.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
189.43201.95214.47
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
241.81265.73294.96
Details

Cheniere Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cheniere Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheniere Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheniere Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cheniere Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cheniere Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheniere Energy's historical news coverage. Cheniere Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 206.44 and 208.82, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
207.76
206.44
Downside
207.63
After-hype Price
208.82
Upside
Cheniere Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cheniere Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cheniere Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheniere Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheniere Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheniere Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.18
  0.13 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
207.76
207.63
0.06 
27.76  
Notes

Cheniere Energy Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February Cheniere Energy is traded for 207.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cheniere is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 207.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 27.76%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Cheniere Energy is about 4720.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 207.76. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.91. Cheniere Energy last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 25th of April 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.

Cheniere Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cheniere Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheniere Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheniere Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheniere Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OKEONEOK Inc 0.53 7 per month 1.58  0.08  2.69 (2.76) 6.81 
MPLXMPLX LP(1.36)8 per month 0.89  0.11  1.73 (1.73) 4.74 
SUSuncor Energy 1.15 12 per month 0.73  0.29  2.77 (1.62) 7.59 
IMOImperial Oil 0.11 8 per month 1.80  0.08  2.96 (3.32) 8.06 
TRPTC Energy Corp 1.06 7 per month 0.70  0.15  2.24 (1.30) 5.93 
BKRBaker Hughes Co 0.11 7 per month 1.78  0.11  4.04 (3.68) 8.14 
ETEnergy Transfer LP 0.46 10 per month 0.72  0.08  2.22 (1.43) 3.94 
FANGDiamondback Energy(1.36)10 per month 1.65  0.08  3.34 (3.24) 7.95 
CQPCheniere Energy Partners(0.05)8 per month 1.23  0.03  2.25 (2.09) 6.34 
KMIKinder Morgan(0.40)7 per month 1.07  0.14  1.99 (1.71) 6.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Cheniere Energy

For every potential investor in Cheniere, whether a beginner or expert, Cheniere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheniere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheniere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheniere Energy's price trends.

Cheniere Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheniere Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheniere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheniere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cheniere Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheniere Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheniere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheniere Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cheniere Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cheniere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheniere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheniere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cheniere Energy

The number of cover stories for Cheniere Energy depends on current market conditions and Cheniere Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheniere Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheniere Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cheniere Energy Short Properties

Cheniere Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cheniere Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cheniere Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cheniere Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheniere Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding229.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B
When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Can Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation industry sustain growth momentum? Does Cheniere have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheniere Energy. Expected growth trajectory for Cheniere significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Cheniere Energy demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.209
Dividend Share
2.055
Earnings Share
17.91
Revenue Per Share
85.177
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.191
Understanding Cheniere Energy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cheniere's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cheniere Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cheniere Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Cheniere Energy's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Cheniere Energy represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Cheniere Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.