Logansport Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 31.60

LOGN Stock  USD 31.60  0.10  0.32%   
Logansport Financial's future price is the expected price of Logansport Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Logansport Financial Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Logansport Financial Analysis, Logansport Financial Valuation, Logansport Financial Correlation, Logansport Financial Hype Analysis, Logansport Financial Volatility, Logansport Financial Price History as well as Logansport Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Logansport Financial's target price for which you would like Logansport Financial odds to be computed.

Logansport Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 31.60

The tendency of Logansport OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.60 90 days 31.60 
about 60.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Logansport Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.75 (This Logansport Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Logansport OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Logansport Financial Corp has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Logansport Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Logansport Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Logansport Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.0996, implying that it can generate a 0.0996 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Logansport Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Logansport Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logansport Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3731.6032.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.4931.7232.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Logansport Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Logansport Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Logansport Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Logansport Financial Corp.

Logansport Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Logansport Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Logansport Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Logansport Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Logansport Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Logansport Financial Technical Analysis

Logansport Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Logansport OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Logansport Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Logansport OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Logansport Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Logansport Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Logansport Financial's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Logansport Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Logansport Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Logansport Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Logansport Financial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Logansport OTC Stock

Logansport Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Logansport OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Logansport with respect to the benefits of owning Logansport Financial security.