Logansport Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LOGNDelisted Stock  USD 40.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Logansport Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.82. Logansport OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Logansport Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Logansport Financial Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Logansport Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Logansport Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logansport OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logansport Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Logansport Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Logansport FinancialLogansport Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logansport Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logansport Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.3899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4405
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors19.8213
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Logansport Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Logansport Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logansport Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.5040.5040.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0234.0244.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.8239.8840.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Logansport Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Logansport Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Logansport Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Logansport Financial Corp.

Logansport Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logansport Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logansport Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logansport Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Logansport Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logansport Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logansport Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logansport Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Logansport Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Logansport Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Logansport Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logansport Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logansport otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Logansport Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Logansport Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Logansport Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Logansport OTC Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Logansport Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Logansport Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Logansport Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Logansport Financial Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Logansport Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Logansport Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Logansport Financial Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Logansport Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Logansport Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Logansport Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Logansport OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Logansport Financial Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Logansport Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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