Lohilo Foods (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.54

LOHILO Stock  SEK 1.44  0.14  8.86%   
Lohilo Foods' future price is the expected price of Lohilo Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lohilo Foods AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lohilo Foods Backtesting, Lohilo Foods Valuation, Lohilo Foods Correlation, Lohilo Foods Hype Analysis, Lohilo Foods Volatility, Lohilo Foods History as well as Lohilo Foods Performance.
  
Please specify Lohilo Foods' target price for which you would like Lohilo Foods odds to be computed.

Lohilo Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 5.54

The tendency of Lohilo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 5.54  or more in 90 days
 1.44 90 days 5.54 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lohilo Foods to move over kr 5.54  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lohilo Foods AB probability density function shows the probability of Lohilo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lohilo Foods AB price to stay between its current price of kr 1.44  and kr 5.54  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lohilo Foods has a beta of 0.0665. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lohilo Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lohilo Foods AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lohilo Foods AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lohilo Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lohilo Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lohilo Foods AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.444.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.344.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.314.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.511.782.05
Details

Lohilo Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lohilo Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lohilo Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lohilo Foods AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lohilo Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Lohilo Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lohilo Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lohilo Foods AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lohilo Foods AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lohilo Foods AB may become a speculative penny stock
Lohilo Foods AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 248.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.85 M.
Lohilo Foods AB has accumulated about 1.44 M in cash with (29.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lohilo Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lohilo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lohilo Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lohilo Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments812 K

Lohilo Foods Technical Analysis

Lohilo Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lohilo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lohilo Foods AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lohilo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lohilo Foods Predictive Forecast Models

Lohilo Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lohilo Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lohilo Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lohilo Foods AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lohilo Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lohilo Foods AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lohilo Foods AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lohilo Foods AB may become a speculative penny stock
Lohilo Foods AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 248.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.85 M.
Lohilo Foods AB has accumulated about 1.44 M in cash with (29.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lohilo Stock

Lohilo Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lohilo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lohilo with respect to the benefits of owning Lohilo Foods security.