Landstar System Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 161.7

LSTR Stock  USD 180.83  1.38  0.77%   
Landstar System's future price is the expected price of Landstar System instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Landstar System performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Landstar System Backtesting, Landstar System Valuation, Landstar System Correlation, Landstar System Hype Analysis, Landstar System Volatility, Landstar System History as well as Landstar System Performance.
To learn how to invest in Landstar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Landstar System guide.
  
At this time, Landstar System's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.89, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.62. Please specify Landstar System's target price for which you would like Landstar System odds to be computed.

Landstar System Target Price Odds to finish over 161.7

The tendency of Landstar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 161.70  in 90 days
 180.83 90 days 161.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Landstar System to stay above $ 161.70  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Landstar System probability density function shows the probability of Landstar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Landstar System price to stay between $ 161.70  and its current price of $180.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This indicates Landstar System market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Landstar System is expected to follow. Additionally Landstar System has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Landstar System Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Landstar System

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landstar System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Landstar System's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
177.88179.45181.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.13161.70197.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
173.17174.74176.32
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
167.82184.42204.71
Details

Landstar System Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Landstar System is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Landstar System's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Landstar System, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Landstar System within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
4.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Landstar System Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Landstar System for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Landstar System can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Landstar System generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is There An Opportunity With Landstar System, Inc.s 24 percent Undervaluation

Landstar System Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Landstar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Landstar System's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landstar System's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments540.7 M

Landstar System Technical Analysis

Landstar System's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Landstar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Landstar System. In general, you should focus on analyzing Landstar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Landstar System Predictive Forecast Models

Landstar System's time-series forecasting models is one of many Landstar System's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Landstar System's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Landstar System

Checking the ongoing alerts about Landstar System for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Landstar System help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Landstar System generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is There An Opportunity With Landstar System, Inc.s 24 percent Undervaluation

Additional Tools for Landstar Stock Analysis

When running Landstar System's price analysis, check to measure Landstar System's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Landstar System is operating at the current time. Most of Landstar System's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Landstar System's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Landstar System's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Landstar System to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.