Landstar System Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LSTR Stock | USD 157.84 0.78 0.50% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landstar System on the next trading day is expected to be 157.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.69. Landstar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Landstar System's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Landstar System's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Landstar System fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Landstar System's stock price is slightly above 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Landstar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3237 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3296 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.4547 | Wall Street Target Price 150.2667 |
Using Landstar System hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Landstar System from the perspective of Landstar System response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Landstar System using Landstar System's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Landstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Landstar System's stock price.
Landstar System Short Interest
An investor who is long Landstar System may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Landstar System and may potentially protect profits, hedge Landstar System with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 135.8121 | Short Percent 0.0407 | Short Ratio 2.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 141.256 |
Landstar System Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Landstar System's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Landstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Landstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Landstar System. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Landstar System Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Landstar System's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Landstar System stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Landstar System's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Landstar System stock will not fluctuate a lot when Landstar System's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landstar System on the next trading day is expected to be 157.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.69. Landstar System after-hype prediction price | USD 157.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landstar System to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Landstar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Landstar System will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Landstar System trading at USD 157.84, that is roughly USD 0.0385 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Landstar System's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Landstar System options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Landstar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Landstar System's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Landstar System's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Landstar System stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Landstar System's open interest, investors have to compare it to Landstar System's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Landstar System is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Landstar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Landstar System Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Landstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Landstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Landstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Landstar System Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landstar System on the next trading day is expected to be 157.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67, mean absolute percentage error of 4.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Landstar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Landstar System's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Landstar System Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Landstar System | Landstar System Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Landstar System Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Landstar System's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Landstar System's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 156.21 and 159.47, respectively. We have considered Landstar System's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Landstar System stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Landstar System stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7133 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4887 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.667 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 101.69 |
Predictive Modules for Landstar System
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landstar System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Landstar System's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Landstar System After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Landstar System at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Landstar System or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Landstar System, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Landstar System Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Landstar System's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Landstar System's historical news coverage. Landstar System's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.22 and 159.46, respectively. We have considered Landstar System's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Landstar System is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Landstar System is based on 3 months time horizon.
Landstar System Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Landstar System is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Landstar System backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Landstar System, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.63 | 0.36 | 0.63 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
157.84 | 157.84 | 0.00 |
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Landstar System Hype Timeline
Landstar System is now traded for 157.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.63. Landstar is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 166.33%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Landstar System is about 95.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.47. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.48. Landstar System last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 10th of January 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landstar System to cross-verify your projections.Landstar System Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Landstar System's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Landstar System's future price movements. Getting to know how Landstar System's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Landstar System may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGX | Argan Inc | (1.05) | 28 per month | 3.83 | 0.1 | 7.40 | (7.35) | 22.90 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | (0.54) | 10 per month | 0.84 | 0.10 | 2.34 | (1.74) | 5.83 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | (0.11) | 13 per month | 1.06 | (0.01) | 2.56 | (1.71) | 6.31 | |
| CSW | CSW Industrials | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.53 | 0.19 | 4.21 | (2.83) | 13.02 | |
| BCO | Brinks Company | (0.78) | 11 per month | 1.34 | 0.05 | 3.11 | (2.28) | 10.50 | |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group | (1.05) | 10 per month | 3.76 | 0.01 | 5.40 | (5.73) | 20.64 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | 0.05 | 8 per month | 2.64 | (0.01) | 4.46 | (4.30) | 11.23 | |
| SPR | Spirit Aerosystems Holdings | (1.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.29 | (3.30) | 7.96 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | (1.05) | 14 per month | 2.11 | 0.14 | 4.96 | (2.69) | 12.07 | |
| POWL | Powell Industries | 22.59 | 11 per month | 4.01 | 0.09 | 6.27 | (7.08) | 18.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Landstar System
For every potential investor in Landstar, whether a beginner or expert, Landstar System's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Landstar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Landstar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Landstar System's price trends.Landstar System Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Landstar System stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Landstar System could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Landstar System by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Landstar System Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Landstar System stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Landstar System shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Landstar System stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Landstar System entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Landstar System Risk Indicators
The analysis of Landstar System's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Landstar System's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting landstar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Landstar System
The number of cover stories for Landstar System depends on current market conditions and Landstar System's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Landstar System is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Landstar System's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Landstar System Short Properties
Landstar System's future price predictability will typically decrease when Landstar System's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Landstar System often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Landstar System's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landstar System's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 566.6 M |
Additional Tools for Landstar Stock Analysis
When running Landstar System's price analysis, check to measure Landstar System's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Landstar System is operating at the current time. Most of Landstar System's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Landstar System's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Landstar System's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Landstar System to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.