Lantronix Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.81

LTRX Stock  USD 2.86  0.06  2.05%   
Lantronix's future price is the expected price of Lantronix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lantronix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lantronix Backtesting, Lantronix Valuation, Lantronix Correlation, Lantronix Hype Analysis, Lantronix Volatility, Lantronix History as well as Lantronix Performance.
For more information on how to buy Lantronix Stock please use our How to Invest in Lantronix guide.
  
At this time, Lantronix's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 8.27 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.80 in 2024. Please specify Lantronix's target price for which you would like Lantronix odds to be computed.

Lantronix Target Price Odds to finish over 5.81

The tendency of Lantronix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.81  or more in 90 days
 2.86 90 days 5.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lantronix to move over $ 5.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lantronix probability density function shows the probability of Lantronix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lantronix price to stay between its current price of $ 2.86  and $ 5.81  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lantronix has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lantronix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lantronix will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lantronix has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lantronix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lantronix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lantronix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.828.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.479.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.258.43
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.659.5010.55
Details

Lantronix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lantronix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lantronix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lantronix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lantronix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Lantronix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lantronix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lantronix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lantronix generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lantronix has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.49 M.
Lantronix has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 8484 shares by Brace Philip G of Lantronix subject to Rule 16b-3

Lantronix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lantronix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lantronix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lantronix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.2 M

Lantronix Technical Analysis

Lantronix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lantronix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lantronix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lantronix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lantronix Predictive Forecast Models

Lantronix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lantronix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lantronix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lantronix

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lantronix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lantronix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lantronix generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lantronix has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.49 M.
Lantronix has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 8484 shares by Brace Philip G of Lantronix subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Tools for Lantronix Stock Analysis

When running Lantronix's price analysis, check to measure Lantronix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lantronix is operating at the current time. Most of Lantronix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lantronix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lantronix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lantronix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.