Masoval AS (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.00

MAS Stock   27.70  0.10  0.36%   
Masoval AS's future price is the expected price of Masoval AS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Masoval AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Masoval AS Backtesting, Masoval AS Valuation, Masoval AS Correlation, Masoval AS Hype Analysis, Masoval AS Volatility, Masoval AS History as well as Masoval AS Performance.
  
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Masoval AS Target Price Odds to finish over 35.00

The tendency of Masoval Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  35.00  or more in 90 days
 27.70 90 days 35.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Masoval AS to move over  35.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Masoval AS probability density function shows the probability of Masoval Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Masoval AS price to stay between its current price of  27.70  and  35.00  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Masoval AS has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Masoval AS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Masoval AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Masoval AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Masoval AS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Masoval AS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masoval AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3027.6029.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8124.1130.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.8928.1930.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1927.8528.51
Details

Masoval AS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Masoval AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Masoval AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Masoval AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Masoval AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Masoval AS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Masoval AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Masoval AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Masoval AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Masoval AS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Masoval Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Masoval AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Masoval AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.5 M

Masoval AS Technical Analysis

Masoval AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Masoval Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Masoval AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Masoval Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Masoval AS Predictive Forecast Models

Masoval AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Masoval AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Masoval AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Masoval AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Masoval AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Masoval AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Masoval AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Masoval Stock

Masoval AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Masoval Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Masoval with respect to the benefits of owning Masoval AS security.