Marathon Bancorp, Common Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 12.24

MBBC Stock  USD 12.24  0.04  0.33%   
Marathon Bancorp,'s future price is the expected price of Marathon Bancorp, instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marathon Bancorp, Common performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marathon Bancorp, Backtesting, Marathon Bancorp, Valuation, Marathon Bancorp, Correlation, Marathon Bancorp, Hype Analysis, Marathon Bancorp, Volatility, Marathon Bancorp, History as well as Marathon Bancorp, Performance.
  
Please specify Marathon Bancorp,'s target price for which you would like Marathon Bancorp, odds to be computed.

Marathon Bancorp, Target Price Odds to finish over 12.24

The tendency of Marathon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.24 90 days 12.24 
about 1.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marathon Bancorp, to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.22 (This Marathon Bancorp, Common probability density function shows the probability of Marathon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Marathon Bancorp, Common has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marathon Bancorp, are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marathon Bancorp, Common is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marathon Bancorp, Common has an alpha of 0.2697, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marathon Bancorp, Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marathon Bancorp,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marathon Bancorp, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5612.2413.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.259.9313.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0112.6914.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7811.6612.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marathon Bancorp,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marathon Bancorp,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marathon Bancorp,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marathon Bancorp, Common.

Marathon Bancorp, Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marathon Bancorp, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marathon Bancorp,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marathon Bancorp, Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marathon Bancorp, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Marathon Bancorp, Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marathon Bancorp, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marathon Bancorp, Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Marathon Bancorp, Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marathon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marathon Bancorp,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Bancorp,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15 M

Marathon Bancorp, Technical Analysis

Marathon Bancorp,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marathon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marathon Bancorp, Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marathon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marathon Bancorp, Predictive Forecast Models

Marathon Bancorp,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Marathon Bancorp,'s pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marathon Bancorp,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marathon Bancorp, Common

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marathon Bancorp, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marathon Bancorp, Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Marathon Pink Sheet

Marathon Bancorp, financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marathon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marathon with respect to the benefits of owning Marathon Bancorp, security.