Moelis Co Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.28

MC Stock  USD 76.98  1.13  1.49%   
Moelis' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Moelis Co. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Moelis based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Moelis Co over a specific time period. For example, MC Option Call 20-12-2024 75 is a CALL option contract on Moelis' common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-25 at 11:33:41 for $4.16 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of December is 18.0. View All Moelis options

Closest to current price Moelis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Moelis' future price is the expected price of Moelis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moelis Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moelis Backtesting, Moelis Valuation, Moelis Correlation, Moelis Hype Analysis, Moelis Volatility, Moelis History as well as Moelis Performance.
  
At present, Moelis' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 1.41, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (147.88). Please specify Moelis' target price for which you would like Moelis odds to be computed.

Moelis Target Price Odds to finish below 57.28

The tendency of Moelis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 57.28  or more in 90 days
 76.98 90 days 57.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moelis to drop to $ 57.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Moelis Co probability density function shows the probability of Moelis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moelis price to stay between $ 57.28  and its current price of $76.98 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.93 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Moelis will likely underperform. Additionally Moelis Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moelis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moelis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moelis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moelis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.7778.6581.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.0056.8884.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.3575.2478.12
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.6739.2043.51
Details

Moelis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moelis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moelis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moelis Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moelis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.93
σ
Overall volatility
4.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Moelis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moelis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moelis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company generated the yearly revenue of 854.75 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (24.7 M) with gross profit of 913.57 M.
Moelis has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of December 2024 Moelis paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 23,417 Shares in Moelis Company Acquired by Hilton Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat

Moelis Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moelis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moelis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moelis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments186.4 M

Moelis Technical Analysis

Moelis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moelis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moelis Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moelis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moelis Predictive Forecast Models

Moelis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Moelis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moelis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moelis

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moelis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moelis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company generated the yearly revenue of 854.75 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (24.7 M) with gross profit of 913.57 M.
Moelis has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of December 2024 Moelis paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 23,417 Shares in Moelis Company Acquired by Hilton Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moelis. If investors know Moelis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moelis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.276
Dividend Share
2.4
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
13.755
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of Moelis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moelis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moelis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moelis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moelis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moelis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moelis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moelis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moelis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.