Moelis Stock Forward View
| MC Stock | USD 71.96 0.00 0.00% |
Moelis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Moelis stock prices and determine the direction of Moelis Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Moelis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Moelis' share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Moelis, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.013 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8164 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.686 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3803 | Wall Street Target Price 79.3 |
Using Moelis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moelis Co from the perspective of Moelis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moelis using Moelis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moelis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moelis' stock price.
Moelis Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Moelis' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Moelis. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Moelis stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 66.2002 | Short Percent 0.0794 | Short Ratio 6.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 69.8034 |
Moelis Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Moelis Co on the next trading day is expected to be 70.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.07.Moelis Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Moelis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moelis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moelis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moelis Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moelis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moelis.
Moelis Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Moelis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moelis Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moelis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moelis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moelis' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Moelis Co on the next trading day is expected to be 70.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.07. Moelis after-hype prediction price | USD 72.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moelis to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Moelis contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Moelis Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Moelis trading at USD 71.96, that is roughly USD 0.0234 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Moelis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Moelis Co options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Moelis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Moelis' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Moelis' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Moelis stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Moelis' open interest, investors have to compare it to Moelis' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Moelis is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Moelis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Moelis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Moelis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moelis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moelis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Moelis Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Moelis' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 221.7 M | Current Value 281.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 85.5 M |
Moelis Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Moelis Co on the next trading day is expected to be 70.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 2.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Moelis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Moelis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Moelis Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Moelis | Moelis Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Moelis Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Moelis' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Moelis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.32 and 72.32, respectively. We have considered Moelis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Moelis stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Moelis stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8753 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0168 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.0706 |
Predictive Modules for Moelis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moelis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moelis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Moelis After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Moelis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moelis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moelis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Moelis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Moelis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moelis' historical news coverage. Moelis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.00 and 74.00, respectively. We have considered Moelis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Moelis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moelis is based on 3 months time horizon.
Moelis Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moelis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moelis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moelis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.00 | 0.04 | 0.26 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.96 | 72.00 | 0.06 |
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Moelis Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2026 Moelis is listed for 71.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Moelis is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Moelis is about 182.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.22. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.19 B. Reported Net Income was 151.49 M with gross profit of 1.36 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moelis to cross-verify your projections.Moelis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Moelis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moelis' future price movements. Getting to know how Moelis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moelis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAZ | Lazard | (0.20) | 11 per month | 2.10 | 0.05 | 3.60 | (3.31) | 12.15 | |
| SNEX | Stonex Group | 1.55 | 10 per month | 2.05 | 0.06 | 4.36 | (3.12) | 9.30 | |
| VIRT | Virtu Financial | (0.14) | 11 per month | 1.31 | 0.14 | 2.81 | (2.00) | 6.62 | |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial | (0.11) | 7 per month | 1.33 | 0.0003 | 2.22 | (2.20) | 5.52 | |
| PJT | PJT Partners | 7.59 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.08 | (4.73) | 10.14 | |
| BGC | BGC Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.45 | (2.84) | 6.73 | |
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp | 0.15 | 12 per month | 6.91 | 0.08 | 13.61 | (12.53) | 28.54 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | (4.74) | 10 per month | 2.21 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.13) | 9.28 | |
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance | 7.96 | 9 per month | 0.67 | 0.04 | 1.27 | (1.26) | 8.03 | |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings | (1.13) | 10 per month | 1.68 | (0.04) | 2.52 | (2.77) | 9.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Moelis
For every potential investor in Moelis, whether a beginner or expert, Moelis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Moelis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Moelis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Moelis' price trends.Moelis Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Moelis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Moelis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moelis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Moelis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Moelis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Moelis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Moelis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Moelis Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0314 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 72.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 72.6 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.97) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.81 |
Moelis Risk Indicators
The analysis of Moelis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Moelis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting moelis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Moelis
The number of cover stories for Moelis depends on current market conditions and Moelis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moelis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moelis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Moelis Short Properties
Moelis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Moelis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moelis Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moelis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moelis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 412.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moelis to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Investment Banking & Brokerage sector continue expanding? Could Moelis diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moelis. Expected growth trajectory for Moelis significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Moelis data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.013 | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 3.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.304 |
Understanding Moelis requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Moelis's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Moelis' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Moelis' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Moelis' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Moelis represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Moelis' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.