Moelis Co Stock Price Prediction

MC Stock  USD 77.77  0.41  0.53%   
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Moelis' share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Moelis, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Moelis' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Moelis Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Moelis' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.276
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.39
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.1167
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.5245
Wall Street Target Price
77.4286
Using Moelis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moelis Co from the perspective of Moelis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moelis using Moelis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moelis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moelis' stock price.

Moelis Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Moelis' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Moelis. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Moelis stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
65.1394
Short Percent
0.0684
Short Ratio
4.78
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
75.1124

Moelis Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Moelis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moelis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moelis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moelis Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moelis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moelis.

Moelis Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Moelis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moelis Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moelis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moelis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moelis' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moelis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moelis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Moelis after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 77.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Moelis contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Moelis Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Moelis trading at USD 77.77, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Moelis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Moelis Co options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Moelis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moelis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6977.7180.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.3579.3782.39
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.1274.8683.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.280.32
Details

Moelis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Moelis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moelis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moelis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Moelis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Moelis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moelis' historical news coverage. Moelis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.12 and 80.16, respectively. We have considered Moelis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
77.77
77.14
After-hype Price
80.16
Upside
Moelis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moelis is based on 3 months time horizon.

Moelis Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moelis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moelis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moelis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
3.02
  0.63 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.77
77.14
0.81 
158.12  
Notes

Moelis Hype Timeline

As of January 31, 2025 Moelis is listed for 77.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.63, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Moelis is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 158.12%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.81%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Moelis is about 4314.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.79. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.97. Moelis last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2024. The entity had 1:2 split on the 29th of August 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Moelis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Moelis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Moelis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moelis' future price movements. Getting to know how Moelis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moelis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Moelis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Moelis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moelis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moelis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Moelis Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Moelis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moelis Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moelis based on analysis of Moelis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moelis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moelis's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Moelis

The number of cover stories for Moelis depends on current market conditions and Moelis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moelis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moelis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Moelis Short Properties

Moelis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Moelis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moelis Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moelis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moelis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments186.4 M

Complementary Tools for Moelis Stock analysis

When running Moelis' price analysis, check to measure Moelis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moelis is operating at the current time. Most of Moelis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moelis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moelis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moelis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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