Sotherly Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.74
| MCL Stock | EUR 0.84 0.01 1.18% |
Sotherly |
Sotherly Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 16.74
The tendency of Sotherly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 16.74 or more in 90 days |
| 0.84 | 90 days | 16.74 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sotherly Hotels to move over € 16.74 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sotherly Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Sotherly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sotherly Hotels price to stay between its current price of € 0.84 and € 16.74 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sotherly Hotels has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Sotherly Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sotherly Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sotherly Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sotherly Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sotherly Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sotherly Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sotherly Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sotherly Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sotherly Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sotherly Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sotherly Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Sotherly Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sotherly Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sotherly Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sotherly Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Sotherly Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Sotherly Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sotherly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sotherly Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sotherly Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.4 M |
Sotherly Hotels Technical Analysis
Sotherly Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sotherly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sotherly Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sotherly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sotherly Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Sotherly Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sotherly Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sotherly Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sotherly Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sotherly Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sotherly Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sotherly Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Sotherly Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sotherly Stock
When determining whether Sotherly Hotels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sotherly Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sotherly Hotels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sotherly Hotels Stock:Check out Sotherly Hotels Backtesting, Sotherly Hotels Valuation, Sotherly Hotels Correlation, Sotherly Hotels Hype Analysis, Sotherly Hotels Volatility, Sotherly Hotels History as well as Sotherly Hotels Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Sotherly Stock please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.