Mister Car Wash Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.46
| MCW Stock | USD 8.00 0.12 1.52% |
Mister |
Mister Car Target Price Odds to finish below 5.46
The tendency of Mister Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.46 or more in 90 days |
| 8.00 | 90 days | 5.46 | roughly 2.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mister Car to drop to $ 5.46 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.57 (This Mister Car Wash probability density function shows the probability of Mister Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mister Car Wash price to stay between $ 5.46 and its current price of $8.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.74 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mister Car has a beta of 0.98. This indicates Mister Car Wash market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mister Car is expected to follow. Additionally Mister Car Wash has an alpha of 0.1998, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mister Car Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mister Car
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mister Car Wash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mister Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mister Car Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mister Car is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mister Car's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mister Car Wash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mister Car within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Mister Car Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mister Car for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mister Car Wash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mister Car Wash has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mister Car Wash has 1.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Mister Car Wash has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Mister to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 98.0% of Mister Car shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bears are Losing Control Over Mister Car Wash , Heres Why Its a Buy Now |
Mister Car Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mister Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mister Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mister Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19 M |
Mister Car Technical Analysis
Mister Car's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mister Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mister Car Wash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mister Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mister Car Predictive Forecast Models
Mister Car's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mister Car's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mister Car's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mister Car Wash
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mister Car for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mister Car Wash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mister Car Wash has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mister Car Wash has 1.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Mister Car Wash has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Mister to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 98.0% of Mister Car shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bears are Losing Control Over Mister Car Wash , Heres Why Its a Buy Now |
Additional Tools for Mister Stock Analysis
When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.