Mediaco Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.32
| MDIA Stock | USD 1.32 0.05 3.94% |
Mediaco |
Mediaco Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 1.32
The tendency of Mediaco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.32 | 90 days | 1.32 | about 69.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediaco Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.78 (This Mediaco Holding probability density function shows the probability of Mediaco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mediaco Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Mediaco Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mediaco Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mediaco Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mediaco Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mediaco Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mediaco Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mediaco Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mediaco Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mediaco Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Mediaco Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mediaco Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mediaco Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mediaco Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mediaco Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mediaco Holding may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.77 M. | |
| Mediaco Holding currently holds about 6.53 M in cash with (5.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 500 shares by Emmis Corp of Mediaco Holding at 1.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Mediaco Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mediaco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mediaco Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mediaco Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 M |
Mediaco Holding Technical Analysis
Mediaco Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mediaco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mediaco Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mediaco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mediaco Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Mediaco Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mediaco Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mediaco Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mediaco Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mediaco Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mediaco Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mediaco Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mediaco Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Mediaco Holding may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.77 M. | |
| Mediaco Holding currently holds about 6.53 M in cash with (5.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 500 shares by Emmis Corp of Mediaco Holding at 1.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Mediaco Holding Backtesting, Mediaco Holding Valuation, Mediaco Holding Correlation, Mediaco Holding Hype Analysis, Mediaco Holding Volatility, Mediaco Holding History as well as Mediaco Holding Performance. For information on how to trade Mediaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Mediaco Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mediaco Holding. If investors know Mediaco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mediaco Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 1.311 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.169 | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (1.11) |
The market value of Mediaco Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mediaco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mediaco Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mediaco Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mediaco Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mediaco Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mediaco Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mediaco Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mediaco Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.