Mf Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 18.99
| MFBP Stock | USD 18.99 0.74 4.05% |
MFBP |
MF Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 18.99
The tendency of MFBP Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.99 | 90 days | 18.99 | about 17.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MF Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.88 (This MF Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of MFBP Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MF Bancorp has a beta of 0.53. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MF Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MF Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MF Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MF Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MF Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MF Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MF Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MF Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MF Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MF Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MF Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
MF Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MF Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MF Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MF Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MF Bancorp Technical Analysis
MF Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFBP Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MF Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFBP Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MF Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
MF Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many MF Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MF Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MF Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about MF Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MF Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MF Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for MFBP Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MF Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure MF Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MF Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of MF Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MF Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MF Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MF Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.