Compagnie Des (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.77
| MLEDR Stock | EUR 47.80 2.20 4.40% |
Compagnie |
Compagnie Des Target Price Odds to finish over 47.77
The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 47.77 in 90 days |
| 47.80 | 90 days | 47.77 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Des to stay above € 47.77 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Compagnie des Eaux probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie des Eaux price to stay between € 47.77 and its current price of €47.8 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This indicates Compagnie des Eaux market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Compagnie Des is expected to follow. Additionally Compagnie des Eaux has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Compagnie Des Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Compagnie Des
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie des Eaux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compagnie Des Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Des is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Des' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie des Eaux, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Des within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Compagnie Des Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Des for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie des Eaux can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Compagnie des Eaux generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compagnie des Eaux has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Compagnie des Eaux has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Compagnie Des Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Des' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Des' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0769 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 6.38 | |
| Shares Float | 27.9 K |
Compagnie Des Technical Analysis
Compagnie Des' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie des Eaux. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compagnie Des Predictive Forecast Models
Compagnie Des' time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Des' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Des' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Compagnie des Eaux
Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Des for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie des Eaux help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Compagnie des Eaux generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compagnie des Eaux has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Compagnie des Eaux has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Compagnie Stock Analysis
When running Compagnie Des' price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Des' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Des is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Des' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Des' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Des' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Des to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.