Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 206.04
| MMC Stock | USD 232.77 2.06 0.89% |
Marsh |
Marsh McLennan Target Price Odds to finish over 206.04
The tendency of Marsh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 206.04 in 90 days |
| 232.77 | 90 days | 206.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marsh McLennan to stay above $ 206.04 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Marsh McLennan Companies probability density function shows the probability of Marsh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marsh McLennan Companies price to stay between $ 206.04 and its current price of $232.77 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marsh McLennan has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marsh McLennan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marsh McLennan Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marsh McLennan Companies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marsh McLennan Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marsh McLennan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marsh McLennan Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marsh McLennan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marsh McLennan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marsh McLennan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marsh McLennan Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marsh McLennan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.001 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Marsh McLennan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marsh McLennan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marsh McLennan Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marsh McLennan has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Marsh McLennan paid $ 0.815 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Marsh McLennans SWOT analysis McGriff deal reshapes risk services stock |
Marsh McLennan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marsh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marsh McLennan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marsh McLennan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 499 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Marsh McLennan Technical Analysis
Marsh McLennan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marsh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marsh McLennan Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marsh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marsh McLennan Predictive Forecast Models
Marsh McLennan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marsh McLennan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marsh McLennan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marsh McLennan Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marsh McLennan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marsh McLennan Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marsh McLennan has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Marsh McLennan paid $ 0.815 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Marsh McLennans SWOT analysis McGriff deal reshapes risk services stock |
Check out Marsh McLennan Backtesting, Marsh McLennan Valuation, Marsh McLennan Correlation, Marsh McLennan Hype Analysis, Marsh McLennan Volatility, Marsh McLennan History as well as Marsh McLennan Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marsh McLennan. If investors know Marsh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marsh McLennan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.027 | Dividend Share 3.05 | Earnings Share 8.12 | Revenue Per Share 48.619 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
The market value of Marsh McLennan Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marsh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marsh McLennan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marsh McLennan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marsh McLennan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marsh McLennan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsh McLennan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsh McLennan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsh McLennan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.