Altria Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 56.38
| MO Stock | USD 56.73 0.70 1.25% |
Altria |
Altria Target Price Odds to finish below 56.38
The tendency of Altria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 56.38 or more in 90 days |
| 56.73 | 90 days | 56.38 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altria to drop to $ 56.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Altria Group probability density function shows the probability of Altria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altria Group price to stay between $ 56.38 and its current price of $56.73 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Altria Group has a beta of -0.0318. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Altria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Altria Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Altria Group has an alpha of 0.1492, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Altria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Altria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altria Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Altria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altria Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Altria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altria Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Altria Group reports 26.23 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.48, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Altria to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 61.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Altria paid $ 1.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cedar Wealth Management LLC Decreases Stake in Altria Group, Inc. |
Altria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Altria Technical Analysis
Altria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altria Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altria Predictive Forecast Models
Altria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altria Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altria Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Altria Group reports 26.23 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.48, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Altria to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 61.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Altria paid $ 1.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cedar Wealth Management LLC Decreases Stake in Altria Group, Inc. |
Check out Altria Backtesting, Altria Valuation, Altria Correlation, Altria Hype Analysis, Altria Volatility, Altria History as well as Altria Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. If investors know Altria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altria listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.099 | Dividend Share 3.96 | Earnings Share 5.92 | Revenue Per Share 11.726 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
The market value of Altria Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altria's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altria's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altria's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altria's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.