Altria Group Stock Technical Analysis
| MO Stock | USD 61.99 2.23 3.73% |
As of the 31st of January, Altria shows the Downside Deviation of 1.74, mean deviation of 0.9218, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0069. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model gives you tools to check existing technical drivers of Altria, as well as the relationship between them.
Altria Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Altria, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AltriaAltria's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Altria Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 62.58 | Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most Altria analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Altria stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Altria Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Altria conference calls.
Will Tobacco sector continue expanding? Could Altria diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. Expected growth trajectory for Altria significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Altria data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share 4.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Altria Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Altria's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Altria's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Altria's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Altria represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Altria's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Altria 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Altria's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Altria.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Altria on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Altria Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Altria over 90 days. Altria is related to or competes with British Amer, Universal, Mondelez International, Anheuser Busch, Colgate Palmolive, Target, and Monster Beverage. Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United S... More
Altria Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Altria's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Altria Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 |
Altria Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Altria's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Altria's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Altria historical prices to predict the future Altria's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0069 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2152 |
Altria January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0069 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2252 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9218 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 37474.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2152 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) | |||
| Skewness | (2.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.28 |
Altria Group Backtested Returns
As of now, Altria Stock is very steady. Altria Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Altria Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Altria's Mean Deviation of 0.9218, risk adjusted performance of 0.0069, and Downside Deviation of 1.74 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Altria has a performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0285, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Altria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Altria is likely to outperform the market. Altria Group right now shows a risk of 1.33%. Please confirm Altria Group potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Altria Group will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.44 |
Average predictability
Altria Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Altria time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Altria Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Altria price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.43 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.04 |
Altria technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Altria Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Altria Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Altria Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Altria Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altria Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Altria Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Altria Group. By analyzing Altria's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Altria's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Altria specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0953 | 0.0762 | 0.072 | 0.13 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.47 | 4.39 | 4.8 | 5.04 |
Altria January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Altria help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altria from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Altria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0069 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2252 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9218 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 37474.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2152 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) | |||
| Skewness | (2.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.28 |
Altria January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Altria stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | ||
| Day Median Price | 63.11 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 62.73 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.23 |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Altria Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Tobacco sector continue expanding? Could Altria diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. Expected growth trajectory for Altria significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Altria data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share 4.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Altria Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Altria's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Altria's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Altria's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Altria represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Altria's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.