Medical Properties Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.77
| MPW Stock | USD 4.31 0.07 1.65% |
Medical |
Medical Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 3.77
The tendency of Medical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.77 or more in 90 days |
| 4.31 | 90 days | 3.77 | roughly 2.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medical Properties to drop to $ 3.77 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.63 (This Medical Properties Trust probability density function shows the probability of Medical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medical Properties Trust price to stay between $ 3.77 and its current price of $4.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.71 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Medical Properties has a beta of 0.5. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Medical Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Medical Properties Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Medical Properties Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Medical Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Medical Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medical Properties Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medical Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medical Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medical Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medical Properties Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medical Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Medical Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medical Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medical Properties Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Medical Properties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 871.8 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (558.12 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.54 B. | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Medical Properties paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CareMax, dragged by Steward, files for bankruptcy |
Medical Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Medical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Medical Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medical Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 598.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 250 M |
Medical Properties Technical Analysis
Medical Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medical Properties Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medical Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Medical Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Medical Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medical Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Medical Properties Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Medical Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medical Properties Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Medical Properties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 871.8 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (558.12 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.54 B. | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Medical Properties paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CareMax, dragged by Steward, files for bankruptcy |
Additional Tools for Medical Stock Analysis
When running Medical Properties' price analysis, check to measure Medical Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medical Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Medical Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medical Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medical Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medical Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.