Merus Bv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.81
| MRUS Stock | USD 45.49 1.13 2.55% |
Merus |
Merus BV Target Price Odds to finish below 43.81
The tendency of Merus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 43.81 or more in 90 days |
| 45.49 | 90 days | 43.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merus BV to drop to $ 43.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Merus BV probability density function shows the probability of Merus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Merus BV price to stay between $ 43.81 and its current price of $45.49 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Merus BV has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Merus BV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Merus BV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Merus BV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Merus BV Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Merus BV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merus BV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Merus BV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Merus BV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merus BV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merus BV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merus BV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merus BV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Merus BV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merus BV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merus BV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Merus BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (154.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (107.84 M). | |
| Merus BV currently holds about 376.11 M in cash with (142.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.2. | |
| Merus BV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Merus BV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merus BV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merus BV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 355.2 M |
Merus BV Technical Analysis
Merus BV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Merus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Merus BV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Merus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Merus BV Predictive Forecast Models
Merus BV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Merus BV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Merus BV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merus BV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Merus BV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merus BV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Merus BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (154.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (107.84 M). | |
| Merus BV currently holds about 376.11 M in cash with (142.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.2. | |
| Merus BV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Merus Stock Analysis
When running Merus BV's price analysis, check to measure Merus BV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merus BV is operating at the current time. Most of Merus BV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merus BV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merus BV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merus BV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.