Madison Square Garden Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 201.76
| MSGS Stock | USD 229.83 1.34 0.59% |
Madison |
Madison Square Target Price Odds to finish below 201.76
The tendency of Madison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 201.76 or more in 90 days |
| 229.83 | 90 days | 201.76 | about 5.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison Square to drop to $ 201.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.18 (This Madison Square Garden probability density function shows the probability of Madison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison Square Garden price to stay between $ 201.76 and its current price of $229.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Madison Square has a beta of 0.74. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Madison Square average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Madison Square Garden will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Madison Square Garden has an alpha of 0.0583, implying that it can generate a 0.0583 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Madison Square Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Madison Square
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Square Garden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Madison Square Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison Square Garden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Madison Square Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison Square Garden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Madison Square Garden currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Madison Square Garden has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Madison Square's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 86.0% of Madison Square shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.s Share Price Not Quite Adding Up |
Madison Square Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Madison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Madison Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.1 M |
Madison Square Technical Analysis
Madison Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison Square Garden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Madison Square Predictive Forecast Models
Madison Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Madison Square Garden
Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison Square Garden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Madison Square Garden currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Madison Square Garden has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Madison Square's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 86.0% of Madison Square shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.s Share Price Not Quite Adding Up |
Additional Tools for Madison Stock Analysis
When running Madison Square's price analysis, check to measure Madison Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Madison Square is operating at the current time. Most of Madison Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Madison Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Madison Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Madison Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.