Madison Square Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MSGS Stock  USD 263.76  7.99  3.12%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Madison Square Garden on the next trading day is expected to be 265.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.84. Madison Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Madison Square's stock price is slightly above 69. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Madison, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Madison Square's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Madison Square and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Madison Square's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Madison Square Garden, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Madison Square hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Madison Square Garden from the perspective of Madison Square response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Madison Square Garden on the next trading day is expected to be 265.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.84.

Madison Square after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 263.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Madison Square to cross-verify your projections.

Madison Square Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Madison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Madison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Madison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Madison Square - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Madison Square prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Madison Square price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Madison Square Garden.

Madison Square Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Madison Square Garden on the next trading day is expected to be 265.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64, mean absolute percentage error of 13.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Madison Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Madison Square's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Madison Square Stock Forecast Pattern

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Madison Square Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Madison Square's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Madison Square's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 263.71 and 266.75, respectively. We have considered Madison Square's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
263.76
263.71
Downside
265.23
Expected Value
266.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Madison Square stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Madison Square stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7322
MADMean absolute deviation2.6414
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors155.84
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Madison Square observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Madison Square Garden observations.

Predictive Modules for Madison Square

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Square Garden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
262.24263.76265.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
237.38296.24297.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
218.36245.35272.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Madison Square. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Madison Square's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Madison Square's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Madison Square Garden.

Other Forecasting Options for Madison Square

For every potential investor in Madison, whether a beginner or expert, Madison Square's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Madison Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Madison. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Madison Square's price trends.

Madison Square Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Madison Square stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Madison Square could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Madison Square by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Madison Square Garden Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Madison Square's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Madison Square's current price.

Madison Square Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Madison Square stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Madison Square shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Madison Square stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Madison Square Garden entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Madison Square Risk Indicators

The analysis of Madison Square's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Madison Square's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting madison stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Madison Stock Analysis

When running Madison Square's price analysis, check to measure Madison Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Madison Square is operating at the current time. Most of Madison Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Madison Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Madison Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Madison Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.