Madison Square Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MSGS Stock | USD 332.52 -2.40 -0.72% |
Madison Square's Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The Simple Exponential Smoothing model projects Madison Square at 332.95 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The Simple Exponential Smoothing output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing model forecasts Madison Square at 332.95 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 4.56 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 273.74 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Madison Square's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Madison Square | Madison Square Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Madison Square's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The forecast band spans 330.37 to 335.54. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for Madison Square stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4125 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0408 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.5624 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 273.7429 |
Other Forecasting Options for Madison Square
Analyzing Madison Square's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Madison Square's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Madison Square Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as Madison Square within the Communication Services space and serve as useful points for comparison. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Madison Square's peer group. How Madison Square ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. Weighing both financial metrics and softer factors when comparing these firms produces a more balanced assessment.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Madison Square Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Madison Square Garden, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Madison Square.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10078.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.17 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 333.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 333.47 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -2.63 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -2.40 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.67 |
Madison Square Risk Indicators
Analyzing Madison Square's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for madison square stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Madison Square.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Madison Square Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Madison Square reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.09 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 153.19 million |
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