Mivne Real (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 918.58

MVNE Stock  ILA 1,087  44.00  4.22%   
Mivne Real's future price is the expected price of Mivne Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mivne Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mivne Real Backtesting, Mivne Real Valuation, Mivne Real Correlation, Mivne Real Hype Analysis, Mivne Real Volatility, Mivne Real History as well as Mivne Real Performance.
  
Please specify Mivne Real's target price for which you would like Mivne Real odds to be computed.

Mivne Real Target Price Odds to finish below 918.58

The tendency of Mivne Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  918.58  or more in 90 days
 1,087 90 days 918.58 
about 29.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mivne Real to drop to  918.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.73 (This Mivne Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Mivne Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mivne Real Estate price to stay between  918.58  and its current price of 1087.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mivne Real has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mivne Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mivne Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mivne Real Estate has an alpha of 0.2026, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mivne Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mivne Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mivne Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0851,0871,089
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
978.301,1011,103
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0651,0671,069
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
931.871,0221,112
Details

Mivne Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mivne Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mivne Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mivne Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mivne Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
60.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Mivne Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mivne Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mivne Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mivne Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mivne Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mivne Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mivne Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding799.3 M
Dividends Paid205 M
Short Long Term Debt651.6 M

Mivne Real Technical Analysis

Mivne Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mivne Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mivne Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mivne Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mivne Real Predictive Forecast Models

Mivne Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mivne Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mivne Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mivne Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mivne Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mivne Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mivne Stock

Mivne Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mivne Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mivne with respect to the benefits of owning Mivne Real security.