Norfolk Southern Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 260.15
| NSC Stock | USD 264.26 5.33 2.06% |
Norfolk |
Norfolk Southern Target Price Odds to finish below 260.15
The tendency of Norfolk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 260.15 or more in 90 days |
| 264.26 | 90 days | 260.15 | about 81.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Norfolk Southern to drop to $ 260.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.62 (This Norfolk Southern probability density function shows the probability of Norfolk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Norfolk Southern price to stay between $ 260.15 and its current price of $264.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.06 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Norfolk Southern has a beta of -0.43. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Norfolk Southern are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Norfolk Southern is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Norfolk Southern has an alpha of 0.1935, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Norfolk Southern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Norfolk Southern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Norfolk Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norfolk Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Norfolk Southern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Norfolk Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Norfolk Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Norfolk Southern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Norfolk Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Norfolk Southern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Norfolk Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Norfolk Southern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Norfolk Southern has 17.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 77.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 20th of November 2024 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Norfolk Southern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Norfolk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Norfolk Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norfolk Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Norfolk Southern Technical Analysis
Norfolk Southern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Norfolk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Norfolk Southern. In general, you should focus on analyzing Norfolk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Norfolk Southern Predictive Forecast Models
Norfolk Southern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Norfolk Southern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Norfolk Southern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Norfolk Southern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Norfolk Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norfolk Southern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Norfolk Southern has 17.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Norfolk Southern has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Norfolk to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 77.0% of Norfolk Southern shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 20th of November 2024 Norfolk Southern paid $ 1.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Norfolk Southern Backtesting, Norfolk Southern Valuation, Norfolk Southern Correlation, Norfolk Southern Hype Analysis, Norfolk Southern Volatility, Norfolk Southern History as well as Norfolk Southern Performance. For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norfolk Southern. If investors know Norfolk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norfolk Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Norfolk Southern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norfolk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norfolk Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norfolk Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norfolk Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norfolk Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norfolk Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norfolk Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norfolk Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.