Netscout Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.55
| NTCT Stock | USD 21.81 0.25 1.16% |
NetScout |
NetScout Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 21.55
The tendency of NetScout Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 21.55 or more in 90 days |
| 21.81 | 90 days | 21.55 | about 71.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetScout Systems to drop to $ 21.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.83 (This NetScout Systems probability density function shows the probability of NetScout Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NetScout Systems price to stay between $ 21.55 and its current price of $21.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.91 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NetScout Systems will likely underperform. Additionally NetScout Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NetScout Systems Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NetScout Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetScout Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetScout Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NetScout Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetScout Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetScout Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetScout Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetScout Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0068 |
NetScout Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetScout Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetScout Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 829.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (147.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 641.39 M. | |
| NetScout Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is NetScout Systems, Inc. An Undervalued Cybersecurity Stock to Buy |
NetScout Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetScout Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetScout Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetScout Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 423.1 M |
NetScout Systems Technical Analysis
NetScout Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetScout Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetScout Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetScout Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NetScout Systems Predictive Forecast Models
NetScout Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many NetScout Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NetScout Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NetScout Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about NetScout Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NetScout Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 829.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (147.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 641.39 M. | |
| NetScout Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is NetScout Systems, Inc. An Undervalued Cybersecurity Stock to Buy |
Additional Tools for NetScout Stock Analysis
When running NetScout Systems' price analysis, check to measure NetScout Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NetScout Systems is operating at the current time. Most of NetScout Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NetScout Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NetScout Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NetScout Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.