New Ulm Telecom Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 3.61

NUVR Stock  USD 8.50  0.02  0.23%   
New Ulm's future price is the expected price of New Ulm instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Ulm Telecom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out New Ulm Backtesting, New Ulm Valuation, New Ulm Correlation, New Ulm Hype Analysis, New Ulm Volatility, New Ulm History as well as New Ulm Performance.
  
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New Ulm Target Price Odds to finish below 3.61

The tendency of New OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.61  or more in 90 days
 8.50 90 days 3.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Ulm to drop to $ 3.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This New Ulm Telecom probability density function shows the probability of New OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Ulm Telecom price to stay between $ 3.61  and its current price of $8.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days New Ulm has a beta of 0.0959. This indicates as returns on the market go up, New Ulm average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding New Ulm Telecom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally New Ulm Telecom has an alpha of 0.1992, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New Ulm Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Ulm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Ulm Telecom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Ulm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.668.5013.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.527.3612.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.688.5313.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.078.729.37
Details

New Ulm Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Ulm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Ulm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Ulm Telecom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Ulm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

New Ulm Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Ulm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Ulm Telecom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Ulm Telecom had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

New Ulm Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Ulm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Ulm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

New Ulm Technical Analysis

New Ulm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Ulm Telecom. In general, you should focus on analyzing New OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Ulm Predictive Forecast Models

New Ulm's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Ulm's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Ulm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Ulm Telecom

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Ulm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Ulm Telecom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Ulm Telecom had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for New OTC Stock Analysis

When running New Ulm's price analysis, check to measure New Ulm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Ulm is operating at the current time. Most of New Ulm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Ulm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Ulm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Ulm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.