Oasis Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 93.97
| OASPW Stock | USD 55.01 0.32 0.59% |
Oasis |
Oasis Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 93.97
The tendency of Oasis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 93.97 or more in 90 days |
| 55.01 | 90 days | 93.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Petroleum to move over $ 93.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oasis Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oasis Petroleum price to stay between its current price of $ 55.01 and $ 93.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oasis Petroleum has a beta of 0.054. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oasis Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oasis Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oasis Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oasis Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oasis Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oasis Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oasis Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oasis Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oasis Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oasis Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oasis Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Oasis Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oasis Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oasis Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oasis Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oasis Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oasis Petroleum has accumulated 392.52 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Oasis Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oasis Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oasis Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oasis Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oasis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oasis Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Oasis Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oasis Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oasis Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oasis Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.1 M |
Oasis Petroleum Technical Analysis
Oasis Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oasis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oasis Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oasis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oasis Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Oasis Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oasis Petroleum's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oasis Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oasis Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oasis Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oasis Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oasis Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oasis Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oasis Petroleum has accumulated 392.52 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Oasis Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oasis Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oasis Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oasis Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oasis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oasis Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Oasis Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Oasis Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Oasis Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oasis Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Oasis Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oasis Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oasis Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.