Origin Bancorp, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.02
| OBK Stock | 36.83 0.29 0.79% |
Origin |
Origin Bancorp, Target Price Odds to finish over 29.02
The tendency of Origin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 29.02 in 90 days |
| 36.83 | 90 days | 29.02 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Origin Bancorp, to stay above 29.02 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Origin Bancorp, probability density function shows the probability of Origin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Origin Bancorp, price to stay between 29.02 and its current price of 36.83 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.11 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Origin Bancorp, will likely underperform. Additionally Origin Bancorp, has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Origin Bancorp, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Origin Bancorp,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Origin Bancorp,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Origin Bancorp, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Origin Bancorp, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Origin Bancorp,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Origin Bancorp,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Origin Bancorp, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Origin Bancorp, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Origin Bancorp, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Origin Bancorp, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Origin Bancorp, paid 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2751 shares by Sirman Lori of Origin Bancorp, at 19.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Origin Bancorp, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Origin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Origin Bancorp,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Bancorp,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 279.6 M |
Origin Bancorp, Technical Analysis
Origin Bancorp,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Origin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Origin Bancorp,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Origin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Origin Bancorp, Predictive Forecast Models
Origin Bancorp,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Origin Bancorp,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Origin Bancorp,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Origin Bancorp,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Bancorp, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Bancorp, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Origin Bancorp, paid 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2751 shares by Sirman Lori of Origin Bancorp, at 19.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Origin Bancorp, Backtesting, Origin Bancorp, Valuation, Origin Bancorp, Correlation, Origin Bancorp, Hype Analysis, Origin Bancorp, Volatility, Origin Bancorp, History as well as Origin Bancorp, Performance. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp,. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.43 | Revenue Per Share 11.07 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Origin Bancorp, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.