Orogen Royalties Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.8
| OGNRF Stock | USD 1.03 0.07 7.29% |
Orogen |
Orogen Royalties Target Price Odds to finish over 0.8
The tendency of Orogen Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.80 in 90 days |
| 1.03 | 90 days | 0.80 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orogen Royalties to stay above $ 0.80 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Orogen Royalties probability density function shows the probability of Orogen Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orogen Royalties price to stay between $ 0.80 and its current price of $1.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orogen Royalties has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orogen Royalties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orogen Royalties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orogen Royalties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orogen Royalties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orogen Royalties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orogen Royalties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orogen Royalties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orogen Royalties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orogen Royalties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orogen Royalties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orogen Royalties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Orogen Royalties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orogen Royalties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orogen Royalties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orogen Royalties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orogen Royalties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orogen Royalties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Orogen Royalties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 490.39 K. | |
| Orogen Royalties has accumulated about 9.65 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orogen Royalties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orogen Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orogen Royalties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orogen Royalties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.1 M |
Orogen Royalties Technical Analysis
Orogen Royalties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orogen Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orogen Royalties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orogen Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orogen Royalties Predictive Forecast Models
Orogen Royalties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Orogen Royalties' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orogen Royalties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orogen Royalties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orogen Royalties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orogen Royalties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orogen Royalties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orogen Royalties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orogen Royalties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Orogen Royalties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 490.39 K. | |
| Orogen Royalties has accumulated about 9.65 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Orogen Pink Sheet
Orogen Royalties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orogen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orogen with respect to the benefits of owning Orogen Royalties security.