On4 Communications Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 6.2E-5
| ONCI Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
On4 |
On4 Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 6.2E-5
The tendency of On4 Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000062 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.000062 | about 1.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of On4 Communications to drop to $ 0.000062 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.96 (This On4 Communications probability density function shows the probability of On4 Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of On4 Communications price to stay between $ 0.000062 and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days On4 Communications has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and On4 Communications do not appear to be responsive. Additionally It does not look like On4 Communications' alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. On4 Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for On4 Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as On4 Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of On4 Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
On4 Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. On4 Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the On4 Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold On4 Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of On4 Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000017 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.00 |
On4 Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of On4 Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for On4 Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On4 Communications is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| On4 Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| On4 Communications appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| On4 Communications currently holds 1.46 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. On4 Communications has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist On4 Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, On4 Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like On4 Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for On4 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about On4 Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 513.7 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 344.49 K. | |
| On4 Communications currently holds about 83 K in cash with (243.94 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
On4 Communications Technical Analysis
On4 Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. On4 Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of On4 Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing On4 Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
On4 Communications Predictive Forecast Models
On4 Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many On4 Communications' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary On4 Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about On4 Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about On4 Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for On4 Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On4 Communications is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| On4 Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| On4 Communications appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| On4 Communications currently holds 1.46 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. On4 Communications has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist On4 Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, On4 Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like On4 Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for On4 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about On4 Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 513.7 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 344.49 K. | |
| On4 Communications currently holds about 83 K in cash with (243.94 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in On4 Pink Sheet
On4 Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether On4 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in On4 with respect to the benefits of owning On4 Communications security.