On4 Communications Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ONCI Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
On4 Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of On4 Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of On4 Communications' share price is at 51. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling On4 Communications, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using On4 Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of On4 Communications from the perspective of On4 Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of On4 Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000084 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000014 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008. On4 Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
On4 |
On4 Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine On4 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for On4 using various technical indicators. When you analyze On4 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
On4 Communications Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of On4 Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000084 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000014, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict On4 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that On4 Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
On4 Communications Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest On4 Communications | On4 Communications Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
On4 Communications Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting On4 Communications' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. On4 Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 252.57, respectively. We have considered On4 Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of On4 Communications pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent On4 Communications pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for On4 Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as On4 Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of On4 Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
On4 Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of On4 Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in On4 Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of On4 Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
On4 Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting On4 Communications' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on On4 Communications' historical news coverage. On4 Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered On4 Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
On4 Communications is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of On4 Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
On4 Communications Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as On4 Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading On4 Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with On4 Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
59.02 | 252.57 | 0.00 | 3.87 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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On4 Communications Hype Timeline
On4 Communications is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -3.87. On4 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 59.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on On4 Communications is about 385276.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -3.87. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. On4 Communications had 1:450 split on the 15th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of On4 Communications to cross-verify your projections.On4 Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to On4 Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict On4 Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how On4 Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how On4 Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOLBF | Solvbl Solutions | 0.00 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARWYF | Arway | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.59 | 0.08 | 35.60 | (26.93) | 106.46 | |
| PLGNF | Playgon Games | (0.27) | 4 per month | 10.09 | 0.07 | 40.00 | (20.00) | 90.00 | |
| BCDS | Maxwell Resource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.76 | 0.20 | 35.48 | (23.53) | 73.68 | |
| FUAPF | Global Cannabis Applications | 0.11 | 23 per month | 20.07 | 0.22 | 93.75 | (39.29) | 226.67 | |
| MDTC | Media Technologies | (0.27) | 4 per month | 12.26 | 0.17 | 84.91 | (31.71) | 217.91 | |
| ROIUF | Route1 Inc | (0.27) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.77 | |
| OMQS | Omniq Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.27 | 0.01 | 18.75 | (16.00) | 64.91 | |
| WDLF | Social Life Network | 0.11 | 13 per month | 13.34 | 0.07 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 58.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for On4 Communications
For every potential investor in On4, whether a beginner or expert, On4 Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. On4 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in On4. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying On4 Communications' price trends.On4 Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with On4 Communications pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of On4 Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing On4 Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
On4 Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how On4 Communications pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading On4 Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying On4 Communications pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify On4 Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.74 |
Story Coverage note for On4 Communications
The number of cover stories for On4 Communications depends on current market conditions and On4 Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that On4 Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about On4 Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in On4 Pink Sheet
On4 Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether On4 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in On4 with respect to the benefits of owning On4 Communications security.