On4 Communications Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ONCI Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of On4 Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003. On4 Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of On4 Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for On4 Communications is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

On4 Communications Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of On4 Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict On4 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that On4 Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

On4 Communications Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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On4 Communications Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting On4 Communications' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. On4 Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 125.82, respectively. We have considered On4 Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
125.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of On4 Communications pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent On4 Communications pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria92.8528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0E-4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of On4 Communications price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of On4 Communications. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for On4 Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as On4 Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of On4 Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00009350.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006250.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for On4 Communications

For every potential investor in On4, whether a beginner or expert, On4 Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. On4 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in On4. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying On4 Communications' price trends.

On4 Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with On4 Communications pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of On4 Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing On4 Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

On4 Communications Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of On4 Communications' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of On4 Communications' current price.

On4 Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how On4 Communications pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading On4 Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying On4 Communications pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify On4 Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in On4 Pink Sheet

On4 Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether On4 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in On4 with respect to the benefits of owning On4 Communications security.