OSRAM LICHT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.02
| OSR Stock | EUR 51.60 0.20 0.39% |
OSRAM |
OSRAM LICHT Target Price Odds to finish below 51.02
The tendency of OSRAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 51.02 or more in 90 days |
| 51.60 | 90 days | 51.02 | about 77.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OSRAM LICHT to drop to € 51.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.49 (This OSRAM LICHT N probability density function shows the probability of OSRAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OSRAM LICHT N price to stay between € 51.02 and its current price of €51.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OSRAM LICHT has a beta of 0.0416. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OSRAM LICHT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OSRAM LICHT N will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OSRAM LICHT N has an alpha of 0.0212, implying that it can generate a 0.0212 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OSRAM LICHT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OSRAM LICHT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSRAM LICHT N. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OSRAM LICHT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OSRAM LICHT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OSRAM LICHT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OSRAM LICHT N, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OSRAM LICHT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.44 |
OSRAM LICHT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OSRAM LICHT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OSRAM LICHT N can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 3.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (189 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 650 M. | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OSRAM LICHT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OSRAM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OSRAM LICHT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSRAM LICHT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.2 M |
OSRAM LICHT Technical Analysis
OSRAM LICHT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OSRAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OSRAM LICHT N. In general, you should focus on analyzing OSRAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OSRAM LICHT Predictive Forecast Models
OSRAM LICHT's time-series forecasting models is one of many OSRAM LICHT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OSRAM LICHT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OSRAM LICHT N
Checking the ongoing alerts about OSRAM LICHT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OSRAM LICHT N help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 3.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (189 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 650 M. | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in OSRAM Stock
OSRAM LICHT financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSRAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSRAM with respect to the benefits of owning OSRAM LICHT security.