OSRAM LICHT (Germany) Price Prediction
| OSR Stock | EUR 51.20 0.20 0.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OSRAM LICHT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OSRAM LICHT N from the perspective of OSRAM LICHT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OSRAM LICHT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OSRAM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OSRAM LICHT after-hype prediction price | EUR 51.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OSRAM |
OSRAM LICHT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OSRAM LICHT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OSRAM LICHT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OSRAM LICHT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OSRAM LICHT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OSRAM LICHT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OSRAM LICHT's historical news coverage. OSRAM LICHT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.02 and 51.38, respectively. We have considered OSRAM LICHT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OSRAM LICHT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OSRAM LICHT N is based on 3 months time horizon.
OSRAM LICHT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OSRAM LICHT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OSRAM LICHT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OSRAM LICHT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.20 | 51.20 | 0.00 |
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OSRAM LICHT Hype Timeline
OSRAM LICHT N is now traded for 51.20on Hamburg Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OSRAM is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on OSRAM LICHT is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.20. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of OSRAM LICHT was now reported as 21.31. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.97. OSRAM LICHT N last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out OSRAM LICHT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OSRAM LICHT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OSRAM LICHT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OSRAM LICHT's future price movements. Getting to know how OSRAM LICHT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OSRAM LICHT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVB | Computer And Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.05 | 5.00 | (4.76) | 36.25 | |
| 9IX | EEDUCATION ALBERT AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GKD | Grand Canyon Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.09 | 2.46 | (2.36) | 18.39 | |
| BW8 | Spirent Communications plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.94 | (0.99) | 3.92 | |
| SXV | Xinhua Winshare Publishing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 3.96 | (3.33) | 21.69 | |
| CE1 | CAREER EDUCATION | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 3.17 | (2.53) | 19.04 | |
| DVY | Adtalem Global Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 3.76 | (2.27) | 16.73 |
OSRAM LICHT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OSRAM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OSRAM using various technical indicators. When you analyze OSRAM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OSRAM LICHT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OSRAM LICHT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OSRAM LICHT N, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OSRAM LICHT based on analysis of OSRAM LICHT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OSRAM LICHT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OSRAM LICHT's related companies.
Story Coverage note for OSRAM LICHT
The number of cover stories for OSRAM LICHT depends on current market conditions and OSRAM LICHT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OSRAM LICHT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OSRAM LICHT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OSRAM LICHT Short Properties
OSRAM LICHT's future price predictability will typically decrease when OSRAM LICHT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OSRAM LICHT N often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OSRAM LICHT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSRAM LICHT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in OSRAM Stock
OSRAM LICHT financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSRAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSRAM with respect to the benefits of owning OSRAM LICHT security.