Autohellas (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.10
| OTOEL Stock | EUR 10.10 0.14 1.37% |
Autohellas |
Autohellas Target Price Odds to finish over 10.10
The tendency of Autohellas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.10 | 90 days | 10.10 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autohellas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Autohellas SA probability density function shows the probability of Autohellas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Autohellas SA has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Autohellas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Autohellas SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Autohellas SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Autohellas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Autohellas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autohellas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Autohellas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autohellas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autohellas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autohellas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autohellas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Autohellas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autohellas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autohellas SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Autohellas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Autohellas SA has accumulated 226.01 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Autohellas SA has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Autohellas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Autohellas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Autohellas SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Autohellas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Autohellas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Autohellas outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Autohellas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autohellas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autohellas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autohellas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 170.2 M |
Autohellas Technical Analysis
Autohellas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Autohellas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Autohellas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Autohellas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Autohellas Predictive Forecast Models
Autohellas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Autohellas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Autohellas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Autohellas SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Autohellas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Autohellas SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Autohellas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Autohellas SA has accumulated 226.01 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Autohellas SA has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Autohellas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Autohellas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Autohellas SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Autohellas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Autohellas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Autohellas outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Autohellas Stock
Autohellas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Autohellas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Autohellas with respect to the benefits of owning Autohellas security.