Otter Tail Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.19
| OTTR Stock | USD 80.78 0.20 0.25% |
Otter |
Otter Tail Target Price Odds to finish below 89.19
The tendency of Otter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 89.19 after 90 days |
| 80.78 | 90 days | 89.19 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Otter Tail to stay under $ 89.19 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Otter Tail probability density function shows the probability of Otter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Otter Tail price to stay between its current price of $ 80.78 and $ 89.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Otter Tail will likely underperform. Additionally Otter Tail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Otter Tail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Otter Tail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otter Tail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Otter Tail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Otter Tail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Otter Tail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Otter Tail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Otter Tail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Otter Tail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Otter Tail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Otter Tail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Otter Tail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Otter Tail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otter Tail has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Otter Tail Co. Shares Sold by Phocas Financial Corp. - MarketBeat |
Otter Tail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Otter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Otter Tail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Otter Tail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.4 M |
Otter Tail Technical Analysis
Otter Tail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Otter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Otter Tail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Otter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Otter Tail Predictive Forecast Models
Otter Tail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Otter Tail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Otter Tail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Otter Tail
Checking the ongoing alerts about Otter Tail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Otter Tail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Otter Tail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otter Tail has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Otter Tail Co. Shares Sold by Phocas Financial Corp. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Otter Stock Analysis
When running Otter Tail's price analysis, check to measure Otter Tail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otter Tail is operating at the current time. Most of Otter Tail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otter Tail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otter Tail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otter Tail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.