Otter Tail Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OTTR Stock | USD 85.61 1.53 1.82% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Otter Tail on the next trading day is expected to be 84.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.09. Otter Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Otter Tail's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Otter Tail's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Otter Tail fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Otter Tail's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2567 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9 | Wall Street Target Price 83 |
Using Otter Tail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Otter Tail from the perspective of Otter Tail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Otter Tail using Otter Tail's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Otter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Otter Tail's stock price.
Otter Tail Short Interest
An investor who is long Otter Tail may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Otter Tail and may potentially protect profits, hedge Otter Tail with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.1645 | Short Percent 0.1657 | Short Ratio 20.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.9 M | 50 Day MA 82.428 |
Otter Tail Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Otter Tail's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Otter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Otter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Otter Tail. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Otter Tail's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Otter Tail.
Otter Tail Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Otter Tail's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Otter Tail stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Otter Tail's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Otter Tail stock will not fluctuate a lot when Otter Tail's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Otter Tail on the next trading day is expected to be 84.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.09. Otter Tail after-hype prediction price | USD 85.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Otter Tail to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Otter Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Otter Tail's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Otter Tail's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Otter Tail stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Otter Tail's open interest, investors have to compare it to Otter Tail's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Otter Tail is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Otter. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Otter Tail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Otter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Otter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Otter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Otter Tail Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Otter Tail's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 307.2 M | Current Value 325.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 74.6 M |
Otter Tail Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Otter Tail on the next trading day is expected to be 84.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30, mean absolute percentage error of 2.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Otter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Otter Tail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Otter Tail Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Otter Tail | Otter Tail Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Otter Tail Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Otter Tail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Otter Tail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.82 and 85.40, respectively. We have considered Otter Tail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Otter Tail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Otter Tail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.068 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2966 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.0903 |
Predictive Modules for Otter Tail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otter Tail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Otter Tail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Otter Tail
For every potential investor in Otter, whether a beginner or expert, Otter Tail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Otter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Otter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Otter Tail's price trends.Otter Tail Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Otter Tail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Otter Tail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Otter Tail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Otter Tail Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Otter Tail's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Otter Tail's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Otter Tail Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Otter Tail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Otter Tail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Otter Tail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Otter Tail entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Otter Tail Risk Indicators
The analysis of Otter Tail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Otter Tail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting otter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9023 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Otter Tail
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Otter Tail position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Otter Tail will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Otter Stock
| 0.87 | ADN | Advent Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | SO | Southern Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | IDA | IDACORP | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | GNE | Genie Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | DUK | Duke Energy | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Otter Tail could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Otter Tail when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Otter Tail - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Otter Tail to buy it.
The correlation of Otter Tail is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Otter Tail moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Otter Tail moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Otter Tail can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Otter Stock Analysis
When running Otter Tail's price analysis, check to measure Otter Tail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otter Tail is operating at the current time. Most of Otter Tail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otter Tail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otter Tail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otter Tail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.