Pampa Energia Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 79.31
| PAM Stock | USD 85.59 1.39 1.65% |
Pampa |
Pampa Energia Target Price Odds to finish below 79.31
The tendency of Pampa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 79.31 or more in 90 days |
| 85.59 | 90 days | 79.31 | over 95.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pampa Energia to drop to $ 79.31 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.12 (This Pampa Energia SA probability density function shows the probability of Pampa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pampa Energia SA price to stay between $ 79.31 and its current price of $85.59 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.05 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pampa Energia has a beta of 0.62 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pampa Energia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Energia SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pampa Energia SA has an alpha of 0.6838, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pampa Energia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pampa Energia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Energia SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pampa Energia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pampa Energia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pampa Energia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pampa Energia SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pampa Energia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.33 |
Pampa Energia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pampa Energia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pampa Energia SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Pampa Energa Hits New 12-Month High Still a Buy |
Pampa Energia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pampa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pampa Energia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pampa Energia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 671.4 B |
Pampa Energia Technical Analysis
Pampa Energia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pampa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pampa Energia SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pampa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pampa Energia Predictive Forecast Models
Pampa Energia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pampa Energia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pampa Energia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pampa Energia SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pampa Energia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pampa Energia SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Pampa Energa Hits New 12-Month High Still a Buy |
Check out Pampa Energia Backtesting, Pampa Energia Valuation, Pampa Energia Correlation, Pampa Energia Hype Analysis, Pampa Energia Volatility, Pampa Energia History as well as Pampa Energia Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pampa Energia. If investors know Pampa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pampa Energia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.814 | Earnings Share 8 | Revenue Per Share 33.15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.43 | Return On Assets 0.052 |
The market value of Pampa Energia SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pampa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pampa Energia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pampa Energia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pampa Energia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pampa Energia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pampa Energia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pampa Energia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pampa Energia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.